ZB ZB
Sport
Live now
Start time
Playing for
End time
Listen live
Listen to NAME OF STATION
Up next
Listen live on
ZB

Poll of Polls: Which minor parties could have the biggest impact?

Author
Newstalk ZB,
Publish Date
Sun, 12 Jul 2026, 11:05am
Chris Hipkins' Labour Party is likely to be polling at 30.9%, just ahead of Christopher Luxon's National on 29.8%, the NZ Herald-Motu Research Poll of Polls indicates. Graphic / Paul Slater
Chris Hipkins' Labour Party is likely to be polling at 30.9%, just ahead of Christopher Luxon's National on 29.8%, the NZ Herald-Motu Research Poll of Polls indicates. Graphic / Paul Slater

The shifting support of minor parties is likely to be make or break for November's general election. 

The NZ Herald-Motu Research Poll of Polls shows the coalition has a 70 percent chance of being re-elected. 

The current parliamentary opposition's chances has slumped to 7.2 percent.

Former minister Peter Dunne says support for Labour and National will remain fairly consistent. 

"Particularly, keep an eye on New Zealand First and the Opportunity Party - they seem to be where the movement's taking place, although New Zealand First's, I think, peaked a little bit. It's hard to say at this stage."

LISTEN ABOVE

Take your Radio, Podcasts and Music with you